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List of Figures and Tables

Figures

Chapter 1 - Introduction

Figure 1.1: Real house prices, household income, rents and construction costs, Australia, 1972-2008

Figure 1.2: Factors influencing housing supply, demand and affordability


Chapter 2 - Demand

Figure 2.1: Net overseasmigration and population growth, 1996-2007

Figure 2.2: Average rental yields, 1988-2008

Figure 2.3: Monthly loans to first home buyers by number and proportion of loans to first home buyers, July 1991-November 2008


Chapter 3 - Supply

Figure 3.1: Total dwellings by dwelling structure, Australia, 2006

Figure 3.2: Overview of development contribution types


Chapter 5 - Affordability

Figure 5.1: Housing affordability for first home buyers, 1996-2008

Figure 5.2: Median house price by distance from CBD, Melbourne, 1996 and 2006 (nominal prices)

Figure 5.3: Total jobs accessible in Melbourne, 2006

Figure 5.4: Housing cost outcomes for home buyers, 2005-06

Figure 5.5: Rental vacancy rates, 1996-2008

Figure 5.6: Housing cost outcomes for private renter households, 2005-06

Figure 5.7: Social housing dwellings (number), 1996-2008

Figure 5.8: Distribution of private rental dwellings, Australia, 1996, 2001, 2006

Figure 5.9: Shortage and/or surplus of affordable private rental dwellings, Australia, 1996-2006

 

Tables

Chapter 2 - Demand

Table 2.1: Occupied dwellings: dwelling structureby household composition ('000 households), 2008

Table 2.2: Projections of national underlying demand by household type ('000 dwellings), 2008-28, medium household growth scenario

Table 2.3: Additional households by region for law, medium and high household growth scenarios, 2008-28 as at 30 June

Table 2.4: Cumulative additional households from 2008 under law, medium and high household growth scenarios, selected years


Chapter 3 - Supply

Table 3.1: Existing supply, 2008

Table 3.2: Tenure and landlord type of occupied private dwelling, Australia, 1996, 2001, 2006

Table 3.3: Projections of total dwelling completions and dwelling completions net of demolition under the medium supply projection, Australia, 2008 to 2028 (selected years)

Table 3.4: Net additional dwellings produced between 2008 and 2028, by States and Territory, low, medium and high supply scenarios (completions adjusted for demolitions)

Table 3.5: Dwelling activity by various stages by state and territory, 2008

Table 3.6: Estimate of land release potential (dwelling yield), eight capital cities across Australia by type, 2008

Table 3.7: Estimate of cumulative and average land release potential dwelling yield, eight capital cities across Australia by type, 2008

Table 3.8: Perth Metropolitan Region final residential lot approvals, 1997-98 to 2007-08

Table 3.9: Average cost (A$) per square metre for new detached houses, semi-detached dwellings and units by capital city or state or territory, 2008


Chapter 4 - Projections of the demand-supply gap

Table 4.1: Homeless persons - sleeping rough, by State and Territory, 2006

Table 4.2: Homeless persons - sharing accommodation with friends or relatives, by State and Territory, 2006

Table 4.3: Homeless persons - marginal resident of caravan parks, by State and Territory, 2006

Table 4.4: Estimated additional dwellings required to lift private rental vacancy rate to 3%, by State and Territory, June 2008

Table 4.5: Estimated dwelling gap, Australia, June 2008 (rounded to nearest '000)

Table 4.6: Occupied and unoccupied dwellings by dwelling structure, 2006

Table 4.7: Utilization of dwellings, Australia, 2005-06 and 2008

Table 4.8: Medium supply and medium demand projections, 2008 to 2028 (selected years)

Table 4.9: Gap between underlying demand and dwelling supply, five years (2008 to 2013), using different projection assumptions

Table 4.10: Gap between underlying demand and dwelling supply including initial gap, five years (2008 to 2013), using different projection assumptions

Table 4.11: Gap between underlying demand and dwelling supply, 20 years (2008 to 2028), using different projection assumptions

Table 4.12: Gap between underlying demand and dwelling supply including initial gap, 20 years (2008 to 2028), using different projection assumptions

Key Indicator 1 - Cumulative difference between aggregate demand and supply in 2007-08 since base year by capital cities/balance of state, Australia, 2008

Key Indicator 2 - Adequacy of annual construction activity in 2007-08 since previous year by capital cities/balance of state, Australia, 2008


Chapter 5 - Affordability

Key Indicator 3 – Affordability outcomes for home buyers

Key Indicator 4 – Affordability outcomes for private renters

Table 5.1: Affordable and available private rental stock, 2006

Key Indicator 5 – Affordable housing supply for lower income renters

Key Indicator 6 – Affordable and available housing supply for lower income renters


Appendix 2 - Summary Data

Table A1.1: Summary of the main supply and demand projection data used in the report

Table A2.1: Temporary entrants present in Australia as at 30 June, 1999 to 2008

Table A2.2: Projections of underlying demand based on low, medium and high household growth scenarios: annual increase in underlying demand and total underlying demand projections, Australia, 2008 to 2028

Table A2.3: Projections of underlying demand based on low household growth, by State and Territory, 2008 to 2028

Table A2.3: Projections of underlying demand based on medium household growth, by State and Territory, 2008 to 2028

Table A2.3: Projections of underlying demand based on high household growth, by State and Territory, 2008 to 2028

Table A3.1: Projections of dwelling completions and net completions (adjusted for demolitions), Australia, 2008 to 2028 as at 30 June

Table A3.2: Medium trend projection of dwelling completions, by State and Territory, 2006 to 2028

Table A3.3: Medium trend projection of dwelling completions, adjusted for demolitions (net completions), by State and Territory, 2006 to 2028

Table A3.4: Occupied private dwellings, by dwelling structure and household type, Australia, 2006 (per cent)

Table A3.5: Occupied private dwellings, by dwelling structure and State and Territory, 2006 (number)

Table A3.5A: Government charges and infrastructure costs for broadhectare developments, Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, mid-1980s, mid-1990s and 2007

Table A3.6: Component house and land package costs, Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth, 1992, 2002, 2004

Table A3.7: Average cost per square metre of new work for detached houses ($), by region, 1995–96 to 2007–08

Table A3.7: Average cost per square metre of new work for total semi-detached dwellings ($), by region, 1995–96 to 2007–08

Table A3.7: Average cost per square metre of new work for total flats, units and apartments ($), by region, 1995–96 to 2007–08

Table A4.1: Estimated dwelling need of rough sleepers, 2006

Table A4.2: Occupied and unoccupied dwellings, 1991, 1996, 2001 and 2006

Table A4.3: Projection of demand-supply gap using medium supply and medium household growth projections, 2008 to 2028

Table A5.1: HIA trade contractor price index, by selected capital cities and balances of states, 2003–04 to 2007–08

Table A5.2: Social housing dwellings, Australia, 1996 to 2008


Appendix 3: Data sources and methods

Table A1: Information on relevant State and Territory government demand projections

Figure A1: Summary of supply-based estimates and projections

Table A2: Derivation of a proxy demolition rate to adjust completions data for demolition loss, 2006

Table A3: Estimates of land supply by broadhectare and redevelopment, five jurisdictions and all capital cities, 2008

Table A4: Information on relevant State and Territory government supply projections

Table A5: Major data limitations identified in producing the first report


Appendix 5: Affordability measures

Figure A2: Measures of housing accessibility – proportion of dwellings affordable for median younger households (per cent)

Table A6: Attributes of other major affordability measures used in Australia

Table A7: Census 2006 mortgage stress rates

Table A8: HIA estimates of mortgage stress by capital cities and rest of state in August 2008

Table A9: Estimates of rent stress

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Glossary and abbreviations